When Cash Turns into a Legal responsibility

February 19, 2023

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Posted February 15, 2023 by sean

In the present day’s Animal Spirits is delivered to you by Kelly ETFs:

See right here for extra info on Kelly ETFs and right here for our prior dialog with Kevin Kelly, Founder, and CEO of Kelly ETFs on CRISPR Know-how.

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4/4

Greatest proof is 34% of CPI basket (by weight) is in outright deflation

– 50-yr avg 30%
– Again in 80s, this determine didn’t rise above 30% till Oct ’82
– Guess when Volcker ended inflation warfare? Trace: Oct ’82

This determine crossed above 30% in Oct ’22…Trace: inflation warfare over pic.twitter.com/RF3V0X8Rkx

— Thomas (Tom) Lee (not the drummer) FSInsight (@fundstrat) February 10, 2023

Simply in:

Used automotive costs formally elevated 2.5% in January.

The *largest* month-over-month proportion improve since finish of 2021. pic.twitter.com/vSr6YhOK2y

— CarDealershipGuy (@GuyDealership) February 7, 2023

(Reuters) – Walmart Inc. is warning main packaged items makers that it could possibly not abdomen their worth hikes, pitching its personal private-label merchandise to consumers as less-expensive options to suppliers’ name-brand items.@reuters $WMT #CPI https://t.co/R17zFkRNL0

— Carl Quintanilla (@carlquintanilla) February 10, 2023

NFIB survey: General studying 90.3 vs 89.8. Variety of companies elevating costs in Jan fell to 42% – lowest since Could 2021. Plans to lift costs in subsequent 3 months 29%. Inflation nonetheless a priority however much less so than previous 6 months.

— Kathy Jones (@KathyJones) February 14, 2023

“The bear market is over… We see neither a bull nor a bear market, only a market.” – Wells Fargo

— Sam Ro 📈 (@SamRo) February 13, 2023

“I don’t recall a flurry like this of Massive Tech corporations racing to one-up one another in a subject, ever. How briskly has this been?”

* Late Nov: #ChatGPT gained mainstream buzz
* Dec 22: Sundar declares a ‘code crimson’ ..
* Feb sixth: $MSFT broadcasts it’s internet hosting an occasion

– B of A desk pic.twitter.com/aEHSsuhcXe

— Carl Quintanilla (@carlquintanilla) February 7, 2023

What number of days do now we have to endure this AI nonsense. How a lot cash must be misplaced earlier than it is over???

— Jim Cramer (@jimcramer) February 6, 2023

Bond ETFs having finest begin to a 12 months in flows, taking in $20b in January. Excessive charges, low charges, do not matter, they absorb money and at the moment are thiiiiis near doubling their aum for the reason that ‘black eye, some fear’ days of March 2020 (a name we made & obtained proper) by way of @psarofagis pic.twitter.com/KLuos4xUUk

— Eric Balchunas (@EricBalchunas) February 14, 2023

“.. speculative fervor from the levered buying and selling group (assume YOLO crowd) has clearly crept again into the market .. On Thursday, .. speculative fervor exploded, with Single Inventory Name Possibility volumes notching its highest quantity day ever, by a large margin.”

– Goldman desk pic.twitter.com/Ls6UnnzNeW

— Carl Quintanilla (@carlquintanilla) February 5, 2023

2/3

And what may be driving this vol?

Right here is the 20 most buying and selling choices immediately. Highlighted within the identify column is the expiration date. All 20 expire immediately (0DTE) or tmrw (1DTE).

Additionally highlighted is it implied volatility (IVM col). A few of them are buying and selling at a 90-100 vol. pic.twitter.com/gU2L5XmfIl

— Jim Bianco biancoresearch.eth (@biancoresearch) February 9, 2023

Friday’s jobs stunner helped propel Citi Financial Shock Index for U.S. larger by important diploma … day by day change was largest since June 2020 pic.twitter.com/4yecxnD2kL

— Liz Ann Sonders (@LizAnnSonders) February 7, 2023

Laid off from Meta again in November.

After 3 months, 7 gives are on the desk. Accepted an all-cash supply from a startup for $315K, which is $70K above what Meta used to pay. pic.twitter.com/8iUznmrKqS

— Blind (@TeamBlind) February 6, 2023

“…roughly 15% of corporations within the S&P 500 have seen headcount will increase of 40% or extra for the reason that begin of the pandemic (Exhibit 4), and solely one-fifth of them have introduced layoffs up to now.” – Goldman pic.twitter.com/tu3eFeZB5g

— Sam Ro 📈 (@SamRo) February 8, 2023

I discover the SEC’s “all crypto initiatives should do is are available and register” line unbelievably insulting.

It assumes there’s this huge amount of refined securities attorneys advising shoppers, “nah man, screw the SEC, yolo child, do no matter you need.” 1/6

— Jason Gottlieb (@ohaiom) February 11, 2023

Homebuyers are defying expectations. And sellers will not be desirous to promote.

Obtainable stock of single household properties on the market dropped by 3% this week to solely 443k

46% fewer properties available on the market than in 2019

We cowl all the small print on this week’s @AltosResearch video 📽️🧵👇

1/7 pic.twitter.com/FzhXhnff5L

— Mike Simonsen 🐉 (@mikesimonsen) February 13, 2023

San Francisco has already given up 42% of its Pandemic Housing Growth beneficial properties.

Chicago has given up simply 4% of its Pandemic Housing Growth beneficial properties.

The 20 main markets individually tracked by Case-Shiller 👇 pic.twitter.com/9Foe5KdkV0

— Lance Lambert (@NewsLambert) February 13, 2023

1 in 3 US customers say they’ve lower down on meals supply. 47% of these cited the excessive price of supply as a cause

A meal delivered may be as a lot as 100% greater than eating in, given larger menu costs, supply & service 💸https://t.co/UdxnKHpT4t pic.twitter.com/KxJqH4Tj4h

— cristina berta jones (@cristinagberta) February 4, 2023

BREAKING: In the present day you can commerce the portfolios of politicians.

The Uncommon Whales Subversive Democratic, $NANC, & Republican, $KRUZ, ETFs are reside immediately.

The ETFs comply with the disclosed trades of Congressional members & their households.

See extra: https://t.co/CyG5ayenoZ

— unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) February 7, 2023

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When Cash Turns into a Legal responsibility

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